A delegation of Japanese young and middle-aged military officers visited China. Today, Senior Colonel Wu Qian, director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, said that at the invitation of China Institute of International Strategic Studies, a delegation of Japanese young and middle-aged military officers will visit China from November 26th to December 4th. The Sino-Japanese exchange program for young and middle-aged officers began in 2001, which played an important role in enhancing understanding and trust between the defense departments of the two countries. We are willing to work with Japan to continue to promote mutual visits and exchanges and provide positive energy for the improvement and development of bilateral relations.The first all-green power station base planning based on large-scale compressed air energy storage was released. On December 11th, China Nengjian Digital Group released the all-green power station base planning based on compressed air energy storage in Xining, Qinghai. This is the first all-green power station solution supported by large-scale compressed air energy storage system in high altitude areas around the world, which was independently developed by China Energy Construction Group Co., Ltd. The first batch of projects of the base will take the lead in building a 300 MW compressed air energy storage power station project in guinan county, Hainan, with an overall energy storage capacity of 1.2 million kilowatts, which will effectively enhance the new energy consumption capacity of Hainan and even Qinghai.Zhou Hongchun, a researcher at the State Council Development Research Center: Cultivating green buildings will form a new economic growth point. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to jointly promote carbon reduction, pollution reduction and green growth, and step up the comprehensive green transformation of economic and social development. In this regard, Zhou Hongchun, a researcher at the the State Council Development Research Center, said that reducing carbon, reducing pollution and expanding green growth is the proper logic for China's high-quality economic development. The essence is to strengthen systematic thinking, pay attention to the coordination of various policies and reform and opening-up measures, and realize the green transformation and sustainable development of China's economy and society.
Onlikon: The cooperative product Aidit calcitonin soft capsules is planned to be selected for the tenth batch of national centralized drug procurement. Onlikon announced on December 13th, and on December 12th, the company received a notice from its partner Beijing Meifurun Pharmaceutical Technology Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Meifurun") that the Aidit calcitonin soft capsules jointly developed by the company and its wholly-owned subsidiary Wenzhou Haihe Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. are planned to be selected for the tenth batch of national centralized drug procurement. According to the Pharmaceutical Cooperation Agreement signed by the company and its partner Mei Furun, the company owns 50% of the cooperative products.CITIC Securities: The short-term copper price rebound has a foundation, and it pays attention to the allocation opportunities of the copper plate. CITIC Securities Research Report said that the recent TC negotiation results of copper concentrates, frequent domestic policy warm winds, and the off-season destocking of domestic stocks have been resonantly catalyzed, superimposed with the fall of the US dollar. We believe that the short-term copper price rebound has a foundation and the medium-term fundamental expectations are more solid. We predict that the copper price in the next quarter will run in the range of 9000-10000 USD/ton, which has strong upward elasticity in the short term. It is suggested to pay attention to the allocation opportunities of copper plate. It is suggested to comprehensively select stocks from the dimensions of segment valuation rationality, output growth next year and copper price elasticity.CITIC Securities: It is expected that the global semiconductor and hardware fundamentals will resume their upward trend from the second quarter of next year. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, the global semiconductor and hardware fundamentals are expected to remain weak from the fourth quarter of 2024 to the first quarter of 2025, and will resume their upward trend from the second quarter of 2025. Similar to 2024, GenAI is expected to continue to be the core driving force, but industrial opportunities are expected to continue to spread around NVIDIA. At the same time, we should also pay attention to the recovery progress of IT expenditure of European and American enterprises after the US election, the pull of end-side AI and windows10 EOL on consumer electronics and bulk storage chips, and the recovery process of automobile and industrial sectors at the bottom of the cycle. Tariff and trade policies, US macro and inflation data, and GenAI technology progress are expected to continue to be the core influencing variables of the industry. At the sub-sector level, our preference order is: advanced process, AI network (Ethernet equipment and high-speed interface), AI computing chip (ASIC, commercial GPU), AI server, enterprise IT equipment (network equipment, high-end storage, general server), consumer electronics (PC, mobile phone), analog chip, semiconductor equipment, bulk storage chip, mature process and so on.
Guotai Junan: It is suggested that the beauty care sector with product and channel changes and flexibility should be optimized from the bottom up. Guotai Junan said that after the pressure of consumption in 2022 and the destocking of consumers in 2023, the beauty consumption will return to the normal purchase cycle in 2024, and the industry prosperity will improve month-on-month, and the double-digit growth of online beauty will be achieved. However, after the channel dividend subsided, the platform traffic and price competition became fierce, and the brand differentiation further intensified. Relying on the product innovation and channel operation ability brought by organizational efficiency, the performance of domestic products in the head is still bright, and the rise of new domestic products has spread from beauty cosmetics to personal care. Looking forward to 2025, the market risk appetite will be significantly restored. Because of its many changes and the rising trend of domestic products as a whole, the American nursing sector has obvious growth attributes and significantly benefited from its style. Brand differentiation in the fundamental dimension has intensified, and it is suggested that the flexible target with product and channel changes should be optimized from bottom to top.CITIC Securities: It is expected that the scale of personal pension will grow steadily. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, on December 12, 2024, the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security and other departments jointly issued the Notice on the Full Implementation of Personal Pension System, and the personal pension system will be promoted to the whole country on December 15, with emphasis on product supply and collection conditions optimized. In terms of individual pension funds, 85 index funds were added. At present, the total number of personal pension products is 941, and the performance of most products is relatively stable. The personal pension system shoulders the important mission of perfecting the multi-level and multi-pillar pension insurance system and doing a good job in pension finance. It is expected that with the continuous optimization of system design, continuous enrichment of product supply and continuous improvement of service level, the scale of personal pension is expected to grow steadily, which will also help to better play the wealth management function of the capital market and build a sound policy system of "long money and long investment".Soochow securities: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December. According to the soochow securities Research Report, the CPI of the United States rebounded to +2.75% in November as scheduled, and the CPI that did not exceed expectations cleared the last obstacle for the Fed to cut interest rates in December. In the short term, the combination of low base and high viscosity means that CPI is expected to continue to rebound to +2.8% in December. In the medium term, Trump is expected to drive out illegal immigrants on the first day after taking office, which will aggravate the risk of stagflation in the labor market. However, the intensification of wage inflation stickiness may be concealed by the downward movement of non-agricultural centers in the same period, the expectation of increasing oil prices and the high base in the first half of 2025. The market's concern about "stagnation" may provide room for the Fed to cut interest rates smoothly in the first half of 2025. However, in the second half of 2025, the cumulative interest rate cuts will give support to the economy, the persistence of inflation stickiness and the landing of Trump's tax reduction policy will force the Fed to cut interest rates. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December, 25bps in March and June next year, and stop cutting interest rates in the second half of the year. The end point of the policy interest rate in 2025 is [3.75,4.0]%.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14